HORIZON
Markets Knowledge Graph

Legend

Person
Event
Role
Institution

Graph Stats

0
Nodes
0
Edges
0
Persons
0
Events

Filters

Show Types

Seldon Crisis Rules

CONVERGENT_PROBABILITY
Multiple markets in same event near 50% = decision point approaching
ROLE_UNCERTAINTY
3+ candidates for same role with <50% each = contested succession
INSTITUTIONAL_STRESS
10+ events affecting one institution = system under pressure
Scoring: HIGH=3, MEDIUM=2, LOW=1 per signal

Pipeline

Kalshi API → Cache
↓
spaCy NER → Entities
↓
Neo4j → Temporal Graph
↓
Cypher Queries → Crisis Signals

Selected Node